Bird Flu A Ticking Bomb

Although the earliest occurrences of avian influenzabirds. Culling of birds in an infected region is seen as
date back to 1997, when an outbreak in Hong Kongthe most effective way of preventing the spread.
was swiftly dealt with and managed to be containedBased on estimates that say that hundreds of millions
after causing 6 human deaths, it is the disease's mostof people could succumb to the avian flu disease in
recent history, from late 2003 onwards, that is seenthe case of a world wide flu epidemic, governments
as a very worrying sign for the situation's futureare racing to prepare for such an event. Plans are put
development. After only random cases betweentogether, surveillance programs are trying to detect
1997 and 2003, Hong Kong and China reportedthe earliest signs of a possible bird flu infection in
various cases that signalled the start of a rapideither wild or domestic birds and flu drugs are being
spread of the virus across Asia. A couple of yearsstockpiled as the only way to treat patients.
later and the question is still being asked: is avianAlthough an effective and proven vaccine for the
influenza a real threat to world health or will thisillness is yet to be found, several publicly funded or
become just another 'has been' news story? Theindependent companies are doing research into the
SARS disease was another killer thought to have thevirus and how it can be stopped. Periodically, autumn
potential to evolve and cause major social disruption.and winter is seen as a perfect season for the
However, it was eventually contained and otherdisease to evolve into a world killer. Migratory birds
headlines have taken its place.are the most common source for the virus and
If we are to believe international experts such as thestarting September, their migration is thought to have
World Health Organization officials, we are not farthe potential of taking the viral agent to new
away from a flu pandemic. But this warning exists forterritories.
a while now and apart from millions of birds beingIf we are to look on the other side, there are plenty
killed in Asia and some regular human victims everyof opponents to the bird flu fears. Not just people
once in a while, the great 'plague' is yet to come. Thewho look to the issue with disbelief, but strong
issue is still an avian one, as birds are the virus' naturalsupporters of a conspiracy theory. People such as Dr.
host. However the fear is that a possible mutation ofStephan Lanka, a German biologist who is disputing
such a virus strain could cause it to easily spreadbasic generally agreed facts such as the existence of
between humans. There are suspicions that this hasviruses itself. It is in the end a matter of personal
already taken place in the case of an Indonesianopinion how one takes to the matter. But with
family that was decimated by the virus. Therefore,strong warnings that this is not something to joke
international authorities show concerns over thearound with, on one hand, and constant reassurances
inability of some countries to contain the outbreaksthat the virus has some way to go before reaching
of the disease among their poultry population. This isits deadly arm into the Western hemisphere, it seems
the case with Asian countries, a continent where theone could turn their attention to more stringent
illness has caused the death of tens of millions ofmatters.